Thanks to court rulings and legislative victories, same-sex marriage is
now legal in six states and the District of Columbia, and polls show
that a majority of Americans support the legalization of marriages for
gay, lesbian and bisexual couples. But same-sex marriage has never won a
ballot referendum.
The measure in Maine probably has the best chance of winning. Three years ago, Maine voters rejected a marriage-equality bill
that had been approved by the State Legislature. But, instead of giving
up, supporters of the freedom to marry went right back to knocking on
doors, raising money, honing their arguments and organizing for a new
vote this fall to legalize same-sex marriages.
Although recent polls of likely Maine voters are encouraging, the
outcome is still far from certain. Historically, polls on such ballot
tests have been misleading, and anti-marriage forces are waging a loud
propaganda campaign. They are running television commercials
suggesting that marriage-equality opponents would be unfairly “fired,
sued, fined and punished” if the referendum passes, and that it is
possible to treat gay and lesbian couples fairly while still excluding
them from the right to marry. It would help if the state’s two
supposedly moderate Republican senators, Susan Collins and Olympia
Snowe, who is retiring, would stand up against forces of intolerance
within their party by publicly supporting the referendum.
In Washington State, voters will be deciding whether to let stand the authorization of same-sex marriage handily approved by the Legislature and signed into law by the state’s Democratic governor, Christine Gregoire,
in February. As in Maine, opponents of marriage equality are trying to
make the fallacious argument that marriage equality would somehow harm
heterosexual couples. They also insist that the domestic partnership
scheme approved by voters in the state three years ago goes far enough.
The state’s Roman Catholic leaders have played a vocal role in trying to
turn out a big “no” vote by Catholic parishioners. But major corporate
players in the Seattle area, including Microsoft, Amazon and Starbucks,
are supporting the measure. That is an encouraging development for the
future of the issue nationwide.
Same-sex marriage also stands a chance of prevailing in Maryland, where the same-sex marriage law was narrowly approved by both chambers of the Legislature
and signed in March by the state’s Democratic governor, Martin
O’Malley. But the law was put off when opponents gathered sufficient
signatures to toss the issue to a voter referendum.
If the law is approved by voters, the victory will owe much to the
vigorous campaigning of Mr. O’Malley, the momentum created by President
Obama’s endorsement of marriage equality and efforts, including by the
N.A.A.C.P., to bolster support among blacks, who make up nearly 30
percent of Maryland’s residents.
The issue before Minnesota voters is whether to double-down on the
state’s existing law outlawing same-sex marriage by enshrining the
antigay ban in the State Constitution. With polls showing a tight
contest, it is hard to believe that a majority of Minnesotans would opt
to place their state so sharply on the wrong side of fairness.
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